Shell launches US$25 billion buyback plan

The share repurchase programme, promised following the US$54 acquisition of BG Group in 2016, is the clearest signal yet that the world’s second-largest oil company has recovered from a bruising three-year downturn in the energy sector.

“Today we are taking another important step towards the delivery of our world-class investment case, with the launch of a US$25 billion share buyback programme,” Chief Executive Ben van Beurden said.

Shell will start buying up to US$2 billion of A or B shares every three months, it said. It plans to repurchase at least US$25 billion in the period 2018 – 2020, subject to further progress with debt reduction and oil price conditions, it said.

The move comes as Shell’s debt burden slightly eased in the quarter.

Its debt ratio versus company capitalisation, known as gearing, declined to 23.6% from a peak of 29.2% in Q3 of 2016 and from 24.7% in Q1.

Shell’s debt pile nevertheless remained stubbornly at US$66 billion, little changed over the past five quarters.

The Anglo-Dutch company sharply reduced spending, cut thousands of jobs and sold nearly US$30 billion of assets in the wake of the 2014 oil market downturn.

In a sign of confidence that it can maintain around US$15 billion in annual dividend payments, Shell scrapped in the fourth quarter of 2017 scrip dividend, an austerity policy through which investors can opt to receive dividends in shares or cash.

Investor anticipation of the share buyback programme increased steadily in recent quarters as profits and cash generation rose with the recovery in oil prices and following aggressive cost cuts in the wake of the 2014 downturn.

Shell’s second quarter profit however sharply fell short of expectations.

Net income attributable to shareholders in the quarter, based on a current cost of supplies (CCS) and excluding identified items, rose 30% to US$4.691 billion from a year ago. That compared with a company-provided analysts’ consensus of US$5.967 billion.

The drop in profits came mostly from Shell’s refining, trading and marketing division, also known as downstream, as a result of lower trading results, higher costs and currency exchange.

Shell’s London-listed shares slipped 0.7% in initial London trading.

“Despite the weak set of results in our eyes, this (the buyback) is clearly likely to be positive for share price performance over the short term,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria said.

Oil and gas production in the quarter declined to 3.442 million boed from 3.839 million boed in the first quarter of 2018.

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